No Justice, No Peace?
Pre-emptive, Preventive, and Humanitarian Interventions and the Imbalance of
Power
Vijay
Mascarenhas
In
its 2002 National Security Strategy for the United States, as well as
other public proclamations, and in Operations Enduring and Iraqi Freedom, the
Bush Administration has revolutionized
The
argument in favor of such radical adjustments is clear enough. September 11th
changed the world. Or, to be more precise, September 11th made us brutally,
abruptly, unmistakably aware that the geopolitical structure of the world had
already changed, and changed in a way that made some aspects of international
law and the Just War Theory obsolete. The two greatest geopolitical changes
invoked to argue for a more permissive stance towards pre-emptive, preventive
and humanitarian interventions both stem from the end of the Cold War.[1]
One, as the National Security Strategy puts it, is that “new deadly challenges have
emerged from rogue states and terrorists which make today’s security
environment more complex and dangerous.”[2]
While this might initially seem unrelated to the dissolution of the Soviet
Union and the end of the Cold War, one need only think of the likelihood, had
the Soviets been successful in installing and protecting a client regime in
Afghanistan, of a rogue terrorist being able to use that territory for the
planning and training of a terrorist attack on the United States of the
magnitude of 9/11. Under the Cold War balance of power, both sides had an
interest in keeping client states in line. The second major geopolitical change
brought about by the end of the cold war is that the
Let
us now turn to the first and easiest case of first-use-of-arms: pre-emptive
war. Non-interventionists argue that existing international law, most notably the Article 2 of the
UN Charter, which prohibits “the threat or use of force against the
territorial integrity or political independence of any state,”[7]
includes pre-emptive or anticipatory attack in the prohibition. This
restrictivist reading finds support in the very purposes of the UN, one of which, as stated
in the preamble to the Charter was “to save succeeding generations from the
scourge of war, which twice in our lifetime has brought untold sorrow to
mankind.”[8] Key
here was the recent memory of the World Wars. The first showed the folly of
anticipatory attacks, especially in a system of a rigid balance of power based
on alliances. The second showed that war could be the kind of hell that General
Sherman had not yet imagined. These memories were also still vivid when the
Nuremberg Tribunal established the existence of a “crime against peace” based
on the reasoning that “war is essentially an evil thing” and that “to
initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is
the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it
contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole.”[9]
Lastly, a natural reading of Article 51 endorsing the use of force in
self-defense would seem to restrict it to self-defense in response to an actual
armed attack. Philosophers would of course quibble that the text reads “if” and
not “only if,” but that strikes me as a pedantic interpretation, since, were
the “if-clause” not meant to be restrictive, its existence would serve no
purpose at all.[10]
However,
other scholars of international law prefer a more expansive reading that would
allow for anticipatory self-defense. The appeal here is to natural law, jus
cogens, and customary international law. As Sir Humphrey Waldock noted: “It
would be a travesty of the purposes of the Charter to compel a defending state
to allow its assailant to deliver the first, and perhaps fatal, blow… To read
Article 51 otherwise is to protect the aggressor's right to the first strike.”[11]
And when it comes to Just War tradition, anticipatory self-defense is well
grounded. The analogy with an individual’s right to self-defense is here
illustrative. One does not have to wait until a pointed gun is fired or a
cocked fist thrown before one is entitled to take preventive, even if violent,
action in one’s own defense. Social Contract theory would also advocate for
anticipatory self-defense in that 1) no nation would sign an international
social contract that did not allow it to take any measure necessary to ensure
its political life against aggression from another nation 2) all reasonable
nations would allow other nations to have this right. Even if the UN Charter
were, as Douglas Lackey and others think it actually is, perfectly clear in
declaring anticipatory self-defense illegal, there would still be appeal to
customary international law and natural law for justification.[12]
In
any case, the NSS’s change in foreign and military policy does not pertain to
pre-emptive or anticipatory attacks, but rather to preventive war. The
distinction here is one of immediacy in time and clarity of threat. Many
different criteria for pre-emptive attacks have been proffered, but all concern
time and threat. The most restrictive in terms of time would be those spelled
out by Daniel Webster after the Caroline incident in which the British
had claimed the right of pre-emptive attack. A legitimate attack, he wrote,
would “need show a necessity of self-defense, instant, overwhelming, leaving no
choice of means, and no moment of deliberation.”[13]
This last phrase, “no moment of deliberation” suggests the utmost imminence of
the anticipated attack. Historian Paul Schroeder suggests similar criteria, but
stresses the nature of the threat as well as its timing. Among his proposed
criteria are the following:
(a)
clear and imminent, such that prompt action is required
to meet it;
(b)
direct, that is, threatening the party initiating the
conflict in specific concrete ways, thus entitling that party to act
pre-emptively;
(c)
critical, in the sense that the vital interests of the
initiating party face unacceptable harm and danger.[14]
The third criterion here acknowledges
that what a state is threatened with matters as much as how and when
the injury threatened is expected to occur: only grave threats that pose
unacceptable harm justify pre-emption. And the first criterion adds clarity to
imminence: it must be clear what a nation is threatened with.
In
Just and Unjust Wars, Michael Walzer lays out what is perhaps the most
vague and permissive version of the criteria for anticipatory attack. “The line
between legitimate and illegitimate first strikes,” he writes, “is not going to
be drawn at the point of imminent attack but at the point of sufficient threat”
where “sufficient threat” means three things: “manifest intent to injure, a
degree of active preparation that makes that intent a positive danger, and a
general situation in which waiting, or doing nothing greatly magnifies the
risk.”[15]
But even though this more permissive stance does not require imminence, it does
requires nearness in time and not only that but a determinate nearness in time.
Pre-emptive
wars are therefore clearly distinguishable from preventive ones. For a
preventive war is directed against a threat that, however grave, is neither
clear in intent, nor near in time. In fact, preventive wars as contemplated in
the NSS are directed at instances in which what we are threatened with
is necessarily unspecified, the intent to threaten us is necessarily
improvable, and the time when we are threatened is necessarily some
indeterminate point between now and the whenever it is that the foreseeable
future ceases to be foreseeable. The argument for this sea change in military
policy is that the collapse of the Cold War
balance of power has greatly increased the chance that the two new threats
identified—rogue states bent on acquiring weapons of mass destruction and
terrorists—might combine in a way that renders the passage from identifiable
“sufficient threat” to an actual mushroom cloud or small pox epidemic
undetectable and hence unstoppable. Thus the NSS concludes, “The greater the threat, the
greater is the risk of inaction—and the more compelling the case for taking
anticipatory action to defend ourselves, even if uncertainty remains as to the
time and place of the enemy’s attack,”[16]
and announces that, “As a matter of
common sense and self-defense, America will act against such emerging threats
before they are fully formed.”[17]
In essence, then, the new doctrine advocates that we have both the opportunity
and responsibility to pre-empt the need for pre-emption, or act unilaterally
and unprovoked, not against a threat, but against the threat of a threat.
Such
preventive wars are clearly illegal according to both customary and codified
international law. But are they necessarily immoral according to Just War
Theory? In his paper, “Redefining Just War Criteria in the Post 9/11 World and
the Moral Consequences of Pre-emptive Strikes” given two years ago at this
conference, MAJ Richard Anderson argued that they indeed were immoral, noting,
“Although there may be many pragmatic arguments for the doctrine of preventive
war, virtually every variation of JWT has traditionally condemned such
doctrines, labeling nations that engage in preventive wars as aggressors
themselves.”[18]
But
I would also think that, if preventive wars are unjust they are unjust, even if
not based on faulty intelligence, and, if this is so, there must be deeper
moral basis to the injustice than the one
But
here consideration of the arguments—at once pragmatic and rights-based—for
preventive wars at once shows us, paradoxically, a deeper moral argument against
such wars. The balance of powers was considered a “just equilibrium” precisely
because it established an international political order in which, to a point,
states were accorded equal, acknowledged, and enforceable rights. Regardless of
whatever utilitarian benefit it might have in maintaining peace, a system of
international relations not based upon the fundamental respect for the equal
rights of states has always been deemed unjust and therefore not worth of
preservation by preventive war. This equality of states is the basis of Article
2 of the UN Charter, which holds both the principle of sovereign equality of
all its member states as well as the principle of nonaggression and
nonintervention. The prohibition of first use of arms in preventive wars is,
then, grounded upon the formal equality of states in international law and this
equality is in turn grounded upon reciprocity as found in Kantian universalist ethics and Social
Contract theory. From a Kantian perspective, a right acceded to one state must
be such that it could be universalized to all states. From a Social Contract
perspective, no state would freely accede any rights to another state that were
not accorded to it. Legal scholar, Michael Byers notes that the principle of
reciprocity is the bedrock of international law and then says: “If the
principle of reciprocity ensures that any state claiming a right under general
customary international law accords that same right to every other state,
states will only claim rights which they are prepared to see generalized.”[24]
So the essential question is whether the United States is willing, or even
could be willing, to see its presumed right of launching preventive wars
against threats that have not yet fully formed universalized to all states. The
answer is clearly not. As Schroeder notes, “we cannot want a world that operates
on this principle, and therefore we cannot really want to use it ourselves.”[25]
And, of course, we cannot want a world that operates on this principle because
it would justify many past wars generally considered to have been unjust and
would justify future wars—South Korea preventatively attacking North Korea, or
India attacking Pakistan, etc.—not to mention that it probably would have
justified Iraq attacking us in the months before Operation Iraqi Freedom or
Iran or North Korea attacking us now.
Though
the NSS does not explicitly deny that the right of preventive war be extended
to other nations—after all, such a frank denial of reciprocity would be rather
undiplomatic—it does seem to me that it assumes the unprecedented and unique
military and economic predominance of the United States brings with it
unprecedented and unique rights and obligations. In Schroeder’s words this
policy effectively “declares that there is one law for the
If
US-led preventive wars are perceived as unjust by most of the world—as indeed
the current conflict in
But there is another reason why we should care
about the fear and resentment that the NSS’s policy concerning preventive wars
has bred: the policy condoning preventive wars may reduce the effectiveness of
the
Such
cases where humanitarian intervention is not only permissible but
obligatory will undoubtedly arise and
some of these may involve the kind of intervention where a liberal democratic
government, or some thing as close to it as possible, would have to be created
in the aftermath of the intervention. These would be long-term national
building humanitarian interventions. Given the predominance of American
military might that gives the
The
imbalance of power also affects the question of whether the
There
is another reason why humanitarian intervention needs to be sanctioned by the
UN or world opinion and be carried out by a broad-based coalition. The
emergence of terrorism as a geopolitical concern also introduces a new factor
for Just War Theory that has not yet been, in my estimation, given due
consideration. This new factor is humiliation. Humiliation has long been part
of war, but I think its importance in recent conflicts, most notably in Iraq,
has grown proportionately greater, in part, because more advanced military
technologies as well as closer adherence to the strictures of jus in bello
has reduced the number of traditional civilian casualties. I would argue,
however, that humiliation itself be considered a kind of casualty. Spinoza defines
humility as “a pain arising from a man's
contemplation of his own weakness of body or mind.” Humiliation would
then be a pain arising from a person’s contemplation of his or her own weakness
produced by another person. Although psychological rather than physical,
it is an injury nonetheless, a suffering and pain that should be taken into
account as part of the evils of war in both jus ad bellum and jus in
bello theory, if only for the reason that, in cases of occupations,
humiliation is at least as effective a spur to insurgency and resistance as
traditional forms of collateral damage. The problem is that any operation that
necessitates nation building and a prolonged engagement will likely need to
combat terrorist insurgencies with actions that are bound to humiliate the
local population. Referring to Roger Trinquier’s Modern Warfare: A French
View of Counterinsurgency, Robert Tomes, in his article, “Relearning
Counterinsurgency,” recommends the implementation of:
an organizational structure to
wage this counter-guerrilla campaign and elaborates a "gridding"
system that divides territory into sectors in which methods are applied to
sweep them clear of subversive elements. Again, the use of a census is
important, as is the recording of vehicles, animals, and any other assets that
may be exploited by the antigovernment forces. During these operations entire
towns are to be detained and interrogated…[48]
Tomes then admits that such intrusive
counterinsurgency efforts “should yield valuable intelligence but may also
alienate the population.” Due to the humiliation of the population, tactics
implemented in order to neutralize some insurgents may well create new ones.
The problem is that the tactics are necessary, the humiliation unavoidable. The
extent to which the collateral damage of humiliation can be reduced by softer,
less humiliating tactics is, therefore, limited.
If,
then, the humiliation caused by the machinery of counterinsurgency cannot be
reduced beyond a certain level, the next best thing is to minimize the harmful
effects of the humiliation; and the best way to achieve this, I would say, is
to accompany it with shame. One way to do this is to make sure that US forces
that would likely constitute a disproportionate component in a humanitarian intervention
would, nonetheless, remain merely a component. Speaking of coalitions,
Walzer writes, “What one looks for in numbers is detachment from a
particularist views and consensus on moral rules. And for that, there is at
present no institutional appeal; one appeals to humanity as a whole.”[49]
Humanitarian interventions, then, would mostly likely be successful only if
there is broad international consensus that the moral rules warrant that
intervention and only if there is an appeal to humanity as whole. The reason
being that one can be shamed but not humiliated by the will of humanity as a
whole. The shame that accompanied the humiliation of defeat and occupation in
post-war
I
therefore conclude that much of the policy changes recommended by the NSS and
carried out in Operations Enduring Freedom and Iraqi freedom and possible
future engagements, is contrary to customary and codified international law,
contravenes Just War Theory, and may lead to increasing instability. While
genuinely pre-emptive attacks rest on sound moral and political judgments,
first use of arms in preventive wars cannot be justified and, in fact, will
undermine our ability to engage in humanitarian interventions, even where the
NOTES
[1]
Thus the National Security Strategy (NSS) notes: “With the collapse of the
[2]
NSS, p. 13.
[3]
NSS, p. iv.
[4]
NSS, p. iv.
[5]
NSS, p. 1.
[6]
NSS, p. 1.
[7]
Charter of the United Nations, Chapter 1, Article 2, 4.
[8]
Charter of the United Nations, Preamble.
[9]
[10]
The Article reads: “Nothing in the
present Charter shall impair the inherent right of individual or collective
self-defense if an armed attack occurs against a Member of the United Nations,
until the Security Council has taken measures necessary to maintain
international peace and security. Measures taken by Members in the exercise of
this right of self-defense shall be immediately reported to the Security
Council and shall not in any way affect the authority and responsibility of the
Security Council under the present Charter to take at any time such action as
it deems necessary in order to maintain or restore international peace and
security.”
[11]
Quoted in Richard Maxon, “Nature’s Eldest Law: A Survey of a Nation’s Right to
Act in Self-Defense,” Parameters, Autumn 1995, p. 59.
[12]
I think the real issue here in the controversy over interpretation of current
international law is not so much the underlying morality of the act, but rather
whether in this case, since it is so subject to abuse, we have a fairly firmly
established moral principle that it would nonetheless be imprudent to codify
into actual law. After all, the best arguments against anticipatory attack have
less to do with the moral principles involved than with the possibility of
their application in specific instances, i.e., the question is whether it is
ever possible to genuinely know a pre-emptable attack is about to occur.
[13]
Daniel Webster, The Works of Daniel Webster, Vol. VI (Boston: Little
Brown, Co. 1854), p. 261.
[14]
Paul Schroeder, “
[15]
Michael Walzer, “Just and Unjust Wars: A Moral Argument with Historical
Illustrations,” (Basic Books, 1977), p. 81.
[16]
NSS, p. 15.
[17]
NSS, p. v.
[18]
CAPT Richard C. Anderson, USMA, “Redefining Just War Criteria in the Post 9-11
World and the Moral Consequences of Preemptive Strikes,” JSCOPE 2003, available
at http://www.usafa.edu/isme/JSCOPE03/Anderson03.html.
[19]
Ibid.
[20]
Ibid.
[21]
Quoted in Michael Walzer, Just and Unjust Wars (Basic Books, 1977), p.
76.
[22]
By “states” of course, I do not mean modern nation states but the political
entities of the time.
[23]
Polybius, Histories (Loeb Classical Library), 1. 1. 83.
[24]
Michael Byers, “Reciprocity and the Making of International Environmental Law,”
available at http://www.law.duke.edu/news/papers/StrategyandPersuasion.pdf
[25]
Paul Schroeder, “
[26]
Ibid.
[27]
Ibid.
[28]
Ibid.
[29]
This unpopularity extends even to the populations of many of those countries
still in the coalition.
[30]
Paul Kennedy, “The Conundrum of American Power in Today’s Fragmented World,”
Lady Margaret Lecture, Christ’s College,
[31]
NSS, p. iii.
[32]
NSS, p. iii.
[33]
Though the latter might not be considered first use of arms, given Cambodian
raids into Vietnamese territory, wholesale occupation of the country would seem
out of proportion and could be justified only upon humanitarian grounds.
[34]
Hugo Grotius, On the Law of War and Peace (
[35]
Ibid. 1.1.2.
[36]
Secretary General of the United Nations Report on the Work of the Organization,
UN Document A/46/1, September 1991.
[37]
Ibid.
[38]
Michael Walzer, Just and Unjust Wars (Basic Books, 1977), p. 107.
[39]
Ibid., p. 90.
[40]
Ibid., p. xviii.
[41]
Thus the General Secretary bases his justification of humanitarian intervention
on the thesis that “the heightened international interest in universalizing a
regime of human rights… [is] not so much a new departure as a more focused
awareness of one of the requirements of peace.”
[42]
The NSS agrees with this assessment, noting that the “unprecedented—and
unequaled—strength and influence” of the
[43]
The armed forces engaged in Operation Restore Hope in
[44]
See Final Report of The Defense Science Board Task Force on Strategic
Communication.
[45]
Secretary General of the United Nations Report on the Work of the Organization,
UN Document A/46/1, September 1991.
[46]
Here, I am referring to the IFOR and SFOR armed forces used for peace keeping
and not to those involved with Operation Allied Force.
[47]
And, of course, because the presence of foreign armed forces had by that time
gained the sanction of the UN.
[48]
Parameters, Spring 2004, p. 19.
[49]
Michael Walzer, Just and Unjust Wars (Basic Books, 1977), p. 107.