A Framework for Intervention
Lieutenant So Won
Silas Ahn, USN
JSCOPE 2002
Introduction
As
violent conflict around the world continues to imperil regional, and at times
global, security, the United States has sought to preserve the world order
in which it has a tremendous political and economic stake. Since the end of the Cold War, the United States has retained a vast military, political,
and economic ascendancy that it has used to maintain an international landscape
favorable to its interests. In an attempt
to attain the necessary domestic and international support for this endeavor,
the United
States
has appeared to often soften its own self-interest with appeals to humanitarian
objectives. In doing so, the dialogue
concerning U.S. foreign policy has become fixated with
trying to answer questions about the appropriateness and effectiveness of humanitarian intervention, and
particularly intervention involving the employment of military force. This
topic has attracted a high level of interest, and generally speaking,
commentators have either attempted to produce a list with some general criteria
that must be met prior to military intervention, or disparaged such attempts to
present a specific framework of action in a “circumstanceless, universal idiom”
without reference to the details of the particular crisis at hand.[1] However, this discourse implicitly disregards
the fact that the deployment of troops represents the last resort in a range of
ways that a country can intervene: no action at all (Rwanda);
diplomatic mediation (Israel-Palestinian conflict); the imposition and
enforcement of economic sanctions (Iraq);
and direct military action (Kosovo).
Furthermore, the
intense focus given to answering the question of what constitutes justifiable
intervention overlooks the fact that, in the past decade or so, the U.S. has
employed military forces for humanitarian purposes in only a few limited
engagements in the Middle East, the former Yugoslavia and Africa, with the
evacuation of non-combatants comprising a significant portion of the
operations. In light of this apparent
disparity between popular perception and reality, a more fundamental and
instructive issue to consider is, “What are the assumptions that drive the United
States to intervene?” Amongst the many complex and varied aspects
of this query, the following questions have particular significance:
·
What
is the end state that the United States tends to strive for when it intervenes
using
military force?
·
Can
we separate questions of humanitarian intervention from the broader foreign
policy
pursued by the United States?
Specifically, is there a broad consistency between humanitarian
intervention, arms exports, and consideration of the national interest?
A
deeper examination of these questions will help to place military intervention
in a wider perspective. It will also demonstrate the desirability of
non-military approaches to preserving global security.
Justice or Order?
For obvious
reasons, the question of humanitarian intervention is usually posed as one of
preserving life over death, and the rhetoric of intervention leans toward the
moralistic rather than the pragmatic. It
is certainly true that in most cases, the lives of hundreds, if not thousands
of people hang in the balance during the decision-making process of whether or
not to intervene. Yet, as the history of
intervention shows, the decision to act is rarely made quickly, if at all. In the past decade, over five million people
have been killed as a result of more than one hundred conflicts, a statistic
that points toward the reality that the United
States has infrequently chosen to intervene
in a conflict.[2] Even when intervention has taken place,
whether that involves direct military force or diplomatic arbitration, lasting
peace in places like the Balkans and the Middle East has
rarely been achieved. This points toward
a basic flaw in the approach that intervening states will tend to take: that
because the “security of an individual in one country is to be achieved through
the agency of a state…in another country,” the person being “protected” has
very little say in the “political procedure that ensures security.”[3] Under this framework, the decision to
intervene is based naturally upon the viewpoint of the state conducting the
intervention, and not the viewpoint of the person on behalf of whom the
intervention is taking place. Of course,
there may, but will not necessarily be, a correlation between the two
perspectives, but not necessarily out of design.
The underlying assumption that
drives United States
intervention in other countries, as will be shown in the following discussion,
is the high value that the U.S.
places on peace, defined narrowly as the absence of violence or conflict –
peace in “the negative sense of the mere absence of war.”[4] Understanding the high value placed on order
is central to making sense of the foreign policy decisions that the United
States makes. The cessation of violence is certainly a
worthy goal, but viewed in the hierarchy of desired end states, it is not
necessarily the highest priority. This
is especially true if the combatants feel that they have a just cause for
fighting and are more concerned with “the achievement of justice in the world
community, even at the price of disorder.”[5]. If this is the case, attempts to stop
violence without regard to the resolution of the core issues driving the
conflict may actually serve to hinder a longer-term solution for peace in a
broader sense. This division between those
pursuing order and those pursuing justice will usually reflect the political,
military and economic positions that actors in the international arena find
themselves. Simply put, a strong state
with recognized and established spheres of interest has a desire to maintain
the status quo, whereas a weak state
(or, in some cases, a non-state actor) will seek to establish recognized
spheres of interest, and sometimes find itself simultaneously having to protect
those interests as they are still developing.
The long-standing conflict between Israel
and the Palestinians, in which the United States
has had a lengthy involvement, serves as a pertinent example. Mediation efforts by the United
States in this conflict have stressed the
importance ending violence, if not as the objective of mediation itself, then
as an important initial step demanded by the Israeli government prior to any
further attempts toward negotiations.
This contrasts starkly with the Palestinian position, which has sought
peace in a more “positive” sense – that is, the just resolution of issues,
including land distribution, the status of Jerusalem, and the human rights of
Palestinians. These differences between
the approaches of Israelis and Palestinians to their conflict reflect the
dissimilar positions in which the two sides find themselves. As an established “strong” state, Israel
has an innate desire to impose order and protect its own citizens in a conflict
that many Israelis view as a threat to its very existence. As a non-state actor struggling for
recognition by the international community, the Palestinians are more concerned
with human rights and the establishment of its own territories, and an end to
abuses, both real and perceived, to these spheres of interest by Israel. As another “strong state,” the United
States’ worldview has much in common with Israel,
and the rhetoric and ideology that Israel
adopts makes sense to the American ear.
It makes sense to both Israel
and the United States
to invoke the principle of self-defense as a justification for use of force
against an enemy of the state.
Conversely, the Palestinian resistance movement must constantly seek to
overcome an inherent sense of illegitimacy, especially in light of the dominant
worldview that only states have the legitimate right to employ force.
The United
States’ approach to intervention on behalf
of peace in this area makes little sense to the Palestinians. From their perspective, achieving a mere
ceasefire ignores issues that are fundamental to their notion of a just peace,
and would simply not last, since to them, “order can only be delivered on a
permanent basis by justice.”[6] Arguably, neither side has fully committed to
a peace in the widest sense – that is, in which Israelis and Palestinians would
be able to live side-by-side in harmony with each other. Neither has the United
States, as mediator, truly committed to such
an ideal. Instead, the sights have been
set much lower, to the dissatisfaction of all parties involved, and with no
viable solution for long-term peace yet in sight. Any further United
States involvement must recognize the
inherent systemic imbalance against the non-state actor in this conflict, and
should as a first step push for the just resolution of grievances and desires
of both sides as equitably as possible.
Similar instances exist elsewhere
in the world, in which the conflicting parties’ visions of the way to peace
depends on their prioritization of justice and order. Another relevant example is the plight of the
Kosovar Albanians, on whose behalf the NATO air campaign was waged in
1999. On one level, the U.S.-led
intervention had a just cause: protecting the minority Albanians in Kosovo from
further atrocities inflicted by the Serbian majority. However, it is instructive to examine history
to understand that the U.S.
imposition of order in 1995 actually helped to set in motion a series of events
that brought about the eventual need for intervention. After Slobodan Milosevic rescinded Kosovo’s
autonomy in 1989, the Kosovar Albanians initially pursued a non-violent approach
advocated by Ibrahim Rugova toward the construction of a “parallel
society.” Unfortunately, the Kosovars
were excluded from the Dayton Accords in 1995, which partitioned Bosnia
into the Bosnian Serb
Republic and Muslim-Croat
Federation while avoiding the issue of Kosovar national aspiration. Again, the United
States favored a resolution that seemed to
give the greatest assurance for order and paid very little concern to what the
Kosovar Albanians would have deemed a cause worthy of consideration. The ensuing frustration gave rise to the
Kosovo Liberation Army and the growth of a wider nationalist movement in the
Kosovar population, culminating in attacks on Serbian police stations in
1998. This provoked heavy Serbian
crackdowns on the civilian Kosovar population that led to the NATO campaign.[7] Of course, the abuses inflicted by the
Serbians are inexcusable, and the U.S.-led intervention helped put a stop to
the atrocities. One has to wonder,
however, whether a more thoughtful handling of the Kosovar struggle for
self-determination by the United States
and the international community several years earlier might have afforded a
more peaceful solution in the end.
Consistency in Foreign Policy
It has almost become “fashionable”
to argue about whether or not the United States
should send its military forces abroad to intervene in the latest crop of
humanitarian crises. Yet, the enormous
amount of attention given to this topic masks inconsistencies in other areas of
policy that serve to weaken the overall integrity of U.S.
foreign policy. A major area that
deserves more attention is the practice by the United
States and many other developed countries of
using the sale of arms to exert influence in other countries. Even though export of arms does not involve
the actual deployment of military forces to another country, selling or giving
arms to another country or group is unquestionably a form of military
intervention that has unpredictable long-term consequences, and in the short
term continues to exacerbate violent confrontations all over the globe. The export of arms is bound to contradict any
humanitarian objectives that the United States
may have, and even helps to create situations that give rise to the need for
military intervention. In the words of
former President Jimmy Carter, “we cannot have it both ways. We cannot be both the world’s leading
champion of peace and the world’s leading supplier of arms.”[8]
Although the sale or transfer of arms has been an
oft-used tool of foreign policy by a number of countries throughout the
twentieth century, its actual effectiveness and precision in leveraging policy
is at best ambiguous. The arms trade had
its greatest efficacy during the Cold War as the United
States and the Soviet Union
fought through indirect channels for allegiances. They did this by way of the steady flow of
arms to combatants, hoping to sway events while avoiding direct conflict. Yet, even in this period, the results were
unclear. In Vietnam,
the Kennedy administration attempted to utilize arms and advisors to support
anti-Communist forces, a policy that was proven ultimately ineffective by the
mobilization of a massive conventional U.S.
military intervention that peaked at 500,000 troops in 1968. [9] The Middle East was and remains a hotbed for
arms export, but even during the height of tensions during the Cold War, the
U.S. rationale for the sale of arms did not necessarily coincide with the
intended use of arms by the recipients.
In 1981, the Reagan administration attempted to portray Saudi
Arabia’s desire for AWACS aircraft as a
defense against a potential Soviet attack on its oil fields. Sheik Yamani, a Saudi oil minister, made it
clear at a United Nations meeting that Saudi
Arabia saw Israel,
not the Soviet Union, as its primary threat.[10] More recently, an example of the long-term
repercussions of a permissive arms trade regime is Operation Desert Storm. One of the major root causes of this conflict
was inarguably Iraq’s
ability to steadily acquire massive amounts of conventional arms (from mostly
non-U.S. sources), and even ballistic missiles armed with chemical warheads,
that ultimately endangered regional security and the global oil market.[11]
In the year 2000, global arms sales
amounted to $36.9 billion, of which the United
States accounted for 50.4 percent. The sale of arms to developing nations
accounted for almost 68 percent of total sales in the period between 1993 and
2000, and the U.S. was the leading supplier during this time, accounting for
just over 37 percent of all international agreements with developing nations
between 1993 and 2000. The top two
developing regions in terms of arms purchases have been the Middle
East and Asia, respectively, and in 2000,
major purchases by clients in the Middle East and Asia
reflected a continuation of well-established defense arrangements. In the Middle East, U.S. sold 80 new
production F-16 block 60 fighters to the United Arab Emirates ($6.432 billion);
upgraded of Egypt’s AH-64 Apache helicopters ($400 million); provided Egypt
with 6 SPS-48E 3D land-based radar systems, as well as Avenger and Stinger
missiles; reconfigured 24 of Israel’s AH-64 Apache helicopters ($270 million);
and sold 35 Blackhawk helicopters with some engines ($340 million). In Asia, the U.S.
sold 29 Multiple Launch Rocket Systems ($260 million) to South
Korea; sold component kits for South
Korea’s F-16C/D fighters ($190 million); 18
earlier generation F-16A/B fighters to Thailand;
and AIM-120 AMRAAM air-to-air missiles to Taiwan.[12]
These high profile arms sales reveal
both the quality of weaponry being exported by the U.S.
and the massive scale of the export industry in which the U.S.
has been involved in the past decade.
Perhaps even more important, however, is the small arms and light
weapons market, which has had a more direct impact on the multitude of
conflicts that have erupted since 1990.
Reliable estimates place the legal trade in small arms and light weapons
at between seven and ten billion dollars annually, and a large but unknown
quantity of small arms are traded illegally (estimated between two and three
billion dollars). The United
States, despite stricter controls than most
countries, sold or transferred $463 million worth of small arms in 1998 to 124
countries. Of these, about thirty were
experiencing some level of internal civil violence in 1998, and in at least
five, U.S. or
U.N. forces involved in peacekeeping duties were fired upon by U.S.-supplied
weapons.[13]
Without systemic pressures to deter
a state or other international actor from using force to achieve its goals, the
rise of weapons exports, as depicted above, means that there are fewer and
fewer constraints to the outbreak of conflict in the countries receiving
arms. To further complicate matters, the
expansion of arms exports by major defense contractors out of their host
countries has allowed a glut of arms to fall into the hands of both friends and
foes. Although the United
States probably has the most rigorous
legislation to prevent the transfer or sale of arms to nations committing “gross
violations of internationally recognized human rights,” the actions of U.S.
defense manufacturers deviates from such principles. Between 1986 and 1995, the United
States delivered $42 billion worth of arms
to parties involved in forty-five ongoing conflicts.[14] Part of the problem lies in the fact that the
United States
has a dual system for the export of weapons: a government-to-government Foreign
Military Sales (FMS) system and a commercial system. The overwhelming majority of sales are
conducted through the former system, which entails more rigorous accounting
standards. In contrast, there is no
requirement in the latter to report sales to the State Department once an
exporter receives a commercial license authorization.[15]
The contradictory situation in
which the United States
finds itself is, on the one hand promoting democracy and order, while on the
other supplying slightly over half of the world’s conventional arms exports. In
the Middle East, the United
States accounts for over sixty percent of arms
imports, and yet, the resulting militarization of societies in this region is
counterproductive to the peace that the U.S.,
for a multitude of reasons, would like to achieve in this region.[16] A closer look at the arms trade scheme
between the United States
and the Middle East sheds further light on the
unlikelihood of achieving a lasting peace.
The high level of conventional arms provided to Israel
(worth approximately two billion dollars per annum) has been balanced
regionally through arms exports to Arab countries such as Egypt
(approximately $1.2 billion dollars worth per annum since the Camp David
Accords).[17] While this “balance of power” approach to the
arms trade has maintained a certain level of peace regionally, the abundance of
weaponry, along with the imbalance in power between the Israelis and the
Palestinians, generates an environment of frustration and militarism that often
tips into violence. The Palestinians
have had little legitimate external arms support, and have resorted to the
illegal smuggling of weapons and honing of terrorist tactics as an attempt to
counter-balance Israeli military superiority.
Although issues of regional stability must be considered, the reduction
of arms flowing to both the Israelis and Palestinians would make sense. Yet, the U.S.
continues to uphold a double standard in this regard. In early January 2002, the Israelis seized a
ship containing arms that were apparently bound for the Palestinians. The U.S. State Department called the $100
million dollar shipment an “effort to escalate the violence,” and asserted that
“stopping the violence and cracking down…is the first step of getting into the
building of confidence and a return to talks, which is the goal.”[18] Again, the priority of achieving order by the
United States
and Israel on
one side contrasts with the priority for addressing issues of justice by the
Palestinians on the other.
Unfortunately, the export of arms by the U.S.
into this region contradicts the larger aims that it has set out to
attain. Although the arms trade with Israel
is only one of many obstacles to peace, hopes for even a ceasefire seem dim as
long as arms continue to flow into the country.
The volatility of arms sales is
also demonstrated by the example of Indonesia
and its policy on East Timor. After the invasion of the new nation of East
Timor by the Indonesians in 1975, U.S. arms sales to Indonesia rose from $12
million in 1974 to over $65 million, and in the next several years included the
sale of 16 Rockwell
OV-10 "Bronco" counterinsurgency aircraft, 3 Lockheed C-130 transport
aircraft, 36 Cadillac-Gage V-150 "Commando" armored cars, S-61
helicopters, patrol craft, M-16 rifles, pistols, mortars, machine guns,
recoilless rifles, ammunition, and extensive communications equipment. The majority of these weapons were used
either in the initial attack on East Timor or in the subsequent
military occupation of the country, which, within five years, had claimed the
lives of over 200,000 people. Over the
twenty-five years of the brutal Indonesian occupation of East Timor, the United States transferred over one
billion dollars worth of arms.
Continuing human rights abuses led the United States to eventually sever
military ties with Indonesia through the passage of the
Foreign Operations Appropriations Act of 2000, which specifies the terms under
which military ties will be restored.
Some of these terms included the return of displaced East Timorese to
their homes, the criminal prosecution of members of the Indonesian military
involved in human rights violations and massacres, and further investigation of
those violations. Despite the fact that
these and other conditions have not been met, various groups within the U.S. have strong incentives for
re-establishing closer ties with Indonesia. Of relevance in this discussion are U.S. weapons manufacturers like
Lockheed-Martin and Boeing, who are eager to see the resumption of military
ties with Indonesia, which over the past five
years has received an average of $11 million in weapons from the U.S. per year. Furthermore, the willingness of other
nations to continue arms sales to Indonesia means, in the words of Deputy
Secretary of State Paul Wolfowitz, the possible “diminish[ment] of U.S.
influence with the Indonesian military….”
Yet, unless the Indonesian government addresses some basic issues, such
as the subordination of the military to civilian control, and reconciliation of
a long history of human rights abuses, the cycle of violence will continue to
threaten peace and stability in the region, regardless of who provides the
weapons.[19]
Conclusion
The
preoccupation with humanitarian
intervention in the discussion of U.S.
foreign policy in recent years belies the fact that the United
States, in spite of its rhetoric, often
conducts itself in ways that contradict the compassionate intentions it
espouses. Intervention should not be
defined purely as direct military involvement, since many other forms of
influence and coercion can and do have a great impact in international
relations. In light of the limited
number of actual military interventions that the United
States has participated in within the last
decade or so, this expansion of the definition makes sense. When the United
States does intervene, its concern for
maintaining order – peace in the “negative sense” – sometimes prevents it from
tackling the root causes of conflict and violence in a region. One example of this myopia includes the United
States’ continuing diplomatic efforts to
mediate between the Israelis and the Palestinians, in which the failure to
address fundamental Palestinian grievances has prevented any real progress in
peace talks. Another failure to attempt
to build peace in the “positive” sense is the exclusion of Kosovar Albanians
from the Dayton Accords in 1995, which led to the rise of aggressive
nationalism in Kosovo and the ensuing crackdown by Serbian police. Both of these cases show that a paradigm
shift in the way that the United States
deals with sub-national actors. A
difference does in fact exist between radical terrorist organizations and those
groups struggling to exercise the right to self-determination. This distinction may be sometimes subtle or
difficult to make, but ignoring the difference will cause greater problems down
the road.
The lack of
consistency between U.S.
rhetoric and action manifests itself in the United
States’ massive participation in the
international arms trade. Comprising
over half of total global arms sales and well over a third of total arms sales
to developing nations, U.S. export of conventional weapons serves as another
contradiction to its humanitarian rhetoric.
The vast proliferation of weapons, especially of small arms, has helped
to fuel conflict throughout the world.
Heavy exports to the Middle East and Asia,
although not the primary cause of conflict, have ensured that hot spots like Israel
and Indonesia
continue to experience violence and human rights abuses. The lack of formal control over commercial
arms exports from the United States
is one loophole that contributes to this problem. The sheer volume of arms exports and lack of
close enforcement of existing controls suggests the unsettling possibility that
private defense manufacturers, whose interests lie in the continued expansion
of sales in new and existing markets, influence foreign policy in a direction
contrary to the long-term interests of the United
States and the rest of the world.
Peace,
secured not merely through the maintenance of order, but also through the
pursuit of justice, is in the best interests of the United
States and the world as a whole. Some of the obstacles standing in the way of
this goal have been erected by the United States
itself. The first step towards a more
considered and defensible framework for intervention is the recognition that
current U.S.
foreign policy contains internal inconsistencies. Next, the U.S.
must eliminate these inconsistencies – that is, the disregard for peace in the
“positive” sense, while pursuing a massive arms trade without due regard for
who receives these arms. It is up to the
U.S. to rethink
its foreign policy, but it cannot accomplish the entire transformation alone,
especially with regard to the global arms trade. Tackling this problem has grown well beyond
the capabilities of a single nation, and the imperative for multilateral
efforts in global security remains as important as ever.
NOTES